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Cardiology: Substance Siphon

Decision: Should You Play Substance Siphon? TL;DR: Fecula, Ammis, and Rastus can all make impressive use of Siphon.  Other warbands that focus on keeping a single model alive may wish to invest in it as well, while Lost Pages and Tomes decks - with their dearth of available upgrade slots - may consider it as a 1-shot, late game defensive bomb. (Author's Note: Special thanks to Underworlds Deckers for having the best way to view warband cards online; and to the maker of Thing Counter , an app that has drastically reduced my workload for articles like this one.) Factor: The Basics Let's start off simple, with an exploration of just how useful this card is on its own for your average fighter.  For that, we'll need a chart: Normal 1D 2D 3D 1B 2B 1H 64% 74% 80% 69% 80% 2H 41% 53% 63% 46% 61% 3H 26% 39% 49% 30% 46% 1S 75% 81% 85% 78% 84% 2S 56% 65% 72% 60% 70% 3S 42% 52% 60% 45% 57% 4S 31% 41% 50% 34% 46% 2L 28% 43% 55% 34% 52% The above chart sho...

Cardiology: Iara's Instant Shield

Decision: Should You Play Iara's Instant Shield? TL;DR: Cursebreakers should pick this one up, as should Wurmspat.  Spell-focused versions of Eyes of the Nine and Ylthari's should also probably play it, and anyone trying to build around The Scattered Tome should obviously include every Page they can. Factor: Math We're going to be straight with you right now, the math on rerolls is hard.  In the past we've used some shortcuts to approximate the math on these kinds of things, but for various reasons, those shortcuts aren't as useful here.  So let's take a look at the actual math on successfully defending with Iara's Instant Shield.  For this example, we're just going to be looking at a single attack roll: a 2-hammer vs. 2-shield attack - which you successfully defend against 61% of the time without modifications.   If we were to fully calculate out the odds on this attack, the possible results would look something like this: 0 Sh 1 B 2 ...